Preparing this view

Retrieving the current information and preserving your place. No action is required.

Preparing this view

Retrieving the current information and preserving your place. No action is required.

Forecast Alpha - Prediction Market Signals

Crypto terminal

Short-term Kalshi crypto contracts, scored with market context.

Collected, point-in-time research for short-dated Kalshi crypto contracts. The model combines collected spot, time remaining, realized volatility, candle structure, and venue odds. Positive EV below the hurdle remains watch, not action.

Signal queue Track record

Projection generated 4:45 AMLatest collected evidence 4:35 AM

Updated 0s ago

Crypto market read

11 contracts scanned

Read-only

Edges

Watch

Rich

No trade

Bitcoin price on Oct 4, 2026? — $84,700 or above

BTC - 14m - WATCH

-4.3%

market 98.5%model 99.1%liq 5

Bitcoin price on Oct 4, 2026? — $84,400 or above

BTC - 14m - WATCH

-4.2%

market 98.5%model 99.2%liq 5

Bitcoin price on Oct 4, 2026? — $84,600 or above

BTC - 14m - WATCH

-4.2%

market 98.5%model 99.2%liq 5

contracts

active scan set

actionable edge

cleared hurdle

watch

interesting, not action

declined / rich

risk filtered

Contract tape

Every short-term crypto row includes market context and refusal logic.

Positive EV is not enough by itself. The page keeps watch rows visible when the model sees something, but the hurdle, risk notes, or evidence quality are not yet strong enough.

KALSHIBTCWATCH

Bitcoin price on Oct 4, 2026? — $84,700 or above

YES if BTC settles at or above $84,700 in 14m

Edge EV

-4.3%

Research only, with explicit waits

The crypto terminal is designed to show why the model likes a setup and why it may still refuse it. The public product should reward disciplined waiting as much as signal generation.

Methodology

Resolved evidence

Review settlement performance in the audit ledger.

Resolved-performance calculations are kept off this current-market page so a slow aggregate can never hide collected contract evidence. The Track Record exposes the crypto settlement ledger with its sample limits.

Open crypto track record Review methodology

Crypto workflow

Track the fast tape, then keep the deeper tools close.

The crypto terminal stays public as a research surface. PRO adds saved scanners, alerts, and workspace context for the markets you keep revisiting.

Compare plans Signal queue

Saved crypto watchlists

Scanner review for related contracts

Alerts when gates clear