Forecast Alpha - Prediction Market Signals

1

contracts

active scan set

0

actionable edge

cleared hurdle

1

watch

interesting, not action

0

declined / rich

risk filtered

Contract tape

Every short-term crypto row includes market context and refusal logic.

Positive EV is not enough by itself. The page keeps watch rows visible when the model sees something, but the hurdle, risk notes, or evidence quality are not yet strong enough.

KALSHIETHWATCH

Ethereum price at Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — $1,815 or above

YES if ETH settles at or above $1,815 in 34m

Edge EV

-4.2%

Resolved evidence

Review settlement performance in the audit ledger.

Resolved-performance calculations are kept off this current-market page so a slow aggregate can never hide collected contract evidence. The Track Record exposes the crypto settlement ledger with its sample limits.

Open crypto track record Review methodology

Crypto workflow

Track the fast tape, then keep the deeper tools close.

The crypto terminal stays public as a proof surface. PRO adds saved scanners, alerts, and workspace context for the markets you keep revisiting.

Compare plans Signal queue

01

Saved crypto watchlists

02

Scanner review for related contracts

03

Alerts when gates clear

Preparing this view

Preparing this view

Preparing this view

Short-term Kalshi crypto contracts, scored with market context.

Every short-term crypto row includes market context and refusal logic.

Research only, with explicit waits

Review settlement performance in the audit ledger.

Track the fast tape, then keep the deeper tools close.