Earnings and corporate event odds
Company Event Markets
Category terminal
Earnings and corporate event odds
Earnings and corporate event odds
Company Event Markets
Company, earnings, M&A, and product-event markets where timing, filings, and consensus definitions matter.
Category read
What changed, what matters, and what still needs verification.
What changed
What matters
- - Upcoming report date, guidance, filings, and consensus threshold.
- - Whether the question uses GAAP, non-GAAP, adjusted, or reported figures.
- - Liquidity and post-news price reaction after a catalyst lands.
What to verify
- - Exact metric and source document used for settlement.
- - Whether the threshold is above consensus, below consensus, or binary event completion.
- - Related markets on revenue, EPS, guidance, or share-price reaction.
Category pages are research maps, not trade recommendations
Current candidates
Markets where the model is doing something interesting.
EV is after modeled fees and slippage.
| Market | Mkt | Model | EV | Signal | Move | Resolves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AAPL reports Q2 FY2026 EPS above consensus? Apple Q2 FY2026 earnings. The model sees a small edge but below the tradeable hurdle. | 52.0% | 68.2% | +13.1% | LONG YES | -2.4pt | resolved |
NVDA reports Q2 FY2027 revenue above $45B? NVIDIA Q2 FY2027 earnings. Strong AI infrastructure spending supports YES. | 62.0% | 76.0% | +10.8% | LONG YES | +0.9pt | 53d 14h |
Microsoft Azure revenue exceeds $50B in FY2027 Q1? Azure cloud revenue for Q1 FY2027 (ending September 2026). Slim model edge. | 50.0% | 57.0% | +3.6% | WATCH | +5.7pt | 108d 14h |
AAPL market cap exceeds $4T at any point in 2026? Apple valuation milestone. Modest model edge over market. | 48.0% | 54.0% | +2.6% | WATCH | +6.6pt | 188d 14h |
All active markets
Category coverage
Volume shown in detail pages; top-level sort follows nearest resolution.
| Market | Mkt | Model | EV | Signal | Move | Resolves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AAPL reports Q2 FY2026 EPS above consensus? Apple Q2 FY2026 earnings. The model sees a small edge but below the tradeable hurdle. | 52.0% | 68.2% | +13.1% | LONG YES | -2.4pt | resolved |
NVDA reports Q2 FY2027 revenue above $45B? NVIDIA Q2 FY2027 earnings. Strong AI infrastructure spending supports YES. | 62.0% | 76.0% | +10.8% | LONG YES | +0.9pt | 53d 14h |
Microsoft Azure revenue exceeds $50B in FY2027 Q1? Azure cloud revenue for Q1 FY2027 (ending September 2026). Slim model edge. | 50.0% | 57.0% | +3.6% | WATCH | +5.7pt | 108d 14h |
AAPL market cap exceeds $4T at any point in 2026? Apple valuation milestone. Modest model edge over market. | 48.0% | 54.0% | +2.6% | WATCH | +6.6pt | 188d 14h |