Evidence before expansion
Review calibration, execution attribution, reconciliation, and shadow-portfolio evidence against explicit gates.
Founding cohort
Build the operating standard for prediction-market research.
Forecast Alpha is recruiting a small group of research teams, disciplined independent traders, and market operators who care about reproducibility more than screenshots of returns. The cohort will pressure-test the control tower with real workflows while evidence accumulates.
Direct product influence
Bring a real research workflow and help prioritize the controls, reports, and integrations needed to operate it.
Fail-closed by design
Research and shadow operation do not create capital authority; broker submission remains a separate gated decision.
A strong fit
You already evaluate prediction-market strategies, can contribute structured feedback at least monthly, and are willing to define the evidence required before increasing operational scope.