Forecast Alpha

Analyst leaderboard

Who is beating the model?

Every analyst is scored on their live Kalshi trades — real money, real outcomes. Win rate and expectancy are calculated from forward-traded positions, not backtests. Minimum 10 resolved signals to qualify.

Model baseline — last 30 days

Win rate
0%
Expectancy
-$28.204
Brier score
0.250

Analysts above the model baseline are contributing genuine alpha to the collective signal.

Rankings — sorted by win rate

No analysts qualified yet.

Connect your Kalshi account and make at least 10 live trades to appear here.

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Make 10 live trades to appear on this board

Every trade you make is scored against the model. Grade A analysts beat the model baseline and are eligible to publish their strategy.