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Research engine

Turn model inputs into evidence-backed market briefs.

The engine computes every number; the explanation layer turns persisted inputs into a structured brief. Select a market to inspect the thesis, evidence, uncertainty, and comparable outcomes.
Review governed evidenceSignal queueTrack record
Briefs explain simulated engine output

Research workspace

Brief context loaded

Evidence first
Evidence-linked
16
16 thesis-ready
Selection
1
market loaded
Brief
none
persisted
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
FED3 governed publishersthesis-ready
Fed rate hike in 2026?
FED3 governed publishersthesis-ready
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
FED3 governed publishersthesis-ready
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
FED3 governed publishersthesis-ready

Theme discovery

Find questions through governed evidence activity

Topics are deterministic projections over active questions, governed publishers, and point-in-time observations. Ranking uses evidence breadth, freshness, and coverage—not clicks or user popularity. Sentiment direction remains question-specific and is never combined across unlike markets.

Clear Digital assets
CurrentCollection is succeeding within its expected cadence.
Last success Aug 1, 2026, 7:45 AM UTC
CurrentCollection is succeeding within its expected cadence.
Last success Aug 1, 2026, 6:25 AM UTC
Evidence current4 row-production checks are passing.
Audited Jul 31, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC

Question-relative market intelligence

Evidence attention is separate from interpreted direction

These descriptive observations summarize governed sources available at the stated time. They do not change the deterministic production probability or authorize a signal.

attention only

Linked evidence

7

documents in latest observation

Source diversity

3

independent publishers

Evidence velocity

14%

published in latest 24h window

Direction vs exact question

Not classified

No verified directional interpretation

Current records establish attention and provenance only. Forecast Alpha will not display legacy neutral placeholders as sentiment or infer a directional view without a completed, versioned classification.Available 2026-07-31 12:43 UTC · news-attention-v3

B2C research beta

Save a private, point-in-time research record

Sign in to review governed evidence, record your probability and invalidation condition, revise when facts change, and learn from the resolved outcome. Private thesis text is never placed in a broker feed.

Start private research

Market intelligence

Review question-relative evidence before recording a thesis

distinct sources · point in time

Open at least two governed sources, including evidence that could challenge your initial view. Source reviews and citations are recorded separately so the decision history shows what was actually considered.

Fed dissenters speak: Why they backed higher interest rates
open
MarketWatch Top Storiespublished 2026-07-31available 2026-07-31 12:43Zlink onlyrelevance 50%velocity 0.14
Crypto's resilience tested as oil rises after Iran strikes, Fed signals rates could still rise
open
CoinDeskpublished 2026-07-30available 2026-07-30 10:56Zlink onlyrelevance 50%velocity 0.14
Bitcoin, Ethereum Wobble as Fed Holds Rates Steady
open
Decryptpublished 2026-07-29available 2026-07-29 18:43Zlink onlyrelevance 50%velocity 0.14
Ethereum Price Stalls as Fed Rate Decision Looms
open
Decryptpublished 2026-07-29available 2026-07-29 17:18Zlink onlyrelevance 50%velocity 0.14
Bitcoin steadies above $64,000 as crypto looks to Fed interest-rate decision
open
CoinDeskpublished 2026-07-29available 2026-07-29 10:34Zlink onlyrelevance 50%velocity 0.14
Citadel bets on a Fed rate hike Wednesday as bitcoin analysts call a hold. Someone will be wrong.
open
CoinDeskpublished 2026-07-29available 2026-07-29 05:37Zlink onlyrelevance 50%velocity 0.14
The bull market faces higher likelihood of a Fed rate hike as Iran crisis intensifies
open
MarketWatch Top Storiespublished 2026-07-23available 2026-07-23 00:27Zlink onlyrelevance 50%velocity 0.14

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