Forecast Alpha

Research engine

Turn model inputs into evidence-backed market briefs.

The engine computes every number; the explanation layer turns persisted inputs into a structured brief. Select a market to inspect the thesis, evidence, uncertainty, and comparable outcomes.
Briefs explain simulated engine output

Research workspace

Brief context loaded

Evidence first
Evidence-linked
1
0 thesis-ready
Selection
1
market loaded
Brief
none
persisted

Theme discovery

Find questions through governed evidence activity

Topics are deterministic projections over active questions, governed publishers, and point-in-time observations. Ranking uses evidence breadth, freshness, and coverage—not clicks or user popularity. Sentiment direction remains question-specific and is never combined across unlike markets.

Clear Trade & tariffs
CurrentCollection is succeeding within its expected cadence.
Last success Aug 1, 2026, 6:45 AM UTC
CurrentCollection is succeeding within its expected cadence.
Last success Aug 1, 2026, 6:25 AM UTC
Evidence current4 row-production checks are passing.
Audited Jul 31, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC

Question-relative market intelligence

Evidence attention is separate from interpreted direction

These descriptive observations summarize governed sources available at the stated time. They do not change the deterministic production probability or authorize a signal.

attention only

Linked evidence

10

documents in latest observation

Source diversity

1

independent publishers

Evidence velocity

20%

published in latest 24h window

Direction vs exact question

Not classified

No verified directional interpretation

Current records establish attention and provenance only. Forecast Alpha will not display legacy neutral placeholders as sentiment or infer a directional view without a completed, versioned classification.Available 2026-07-31 19:55 UTC · news-attention-v3

B2C research beta

Save a private, point-in-time research record

Sign in to review governed evidence, record your probability and invalidation condition, revise when facts change, and learn from the resolved outcome. Private thesis text is never placed in a broker feed.

Start private research

Market intelligence

Review question-relative evidence before recording a thesis

distinct sources · point in time

Open at least two governed sources, including evidence that could challenge your initial view. Source reviews and citations are recorded separately so the decision history shows what was actually considered.

President Trump Hosts Historic Cabinet Meeting at Camp David
open
The White Housepublished 2026-07-31available 2026-07-31 19:55Zlink onlyrelevance 60%velocity 0.20
Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Delegates Defense Production Act Authority with Respect to Recoverable Critical Minerals and Materials That Are Essential to Our National Defense
open
The White Housepublished 2026-07-30available 2026-07-30 20:34Zlink onlyrelevance 60%velocity 0.20
Crime Plummets to Another Historic Low Under President Trump
open
The White Housepublished 2026-07-29available 2026-07-29 15:53Zlink onlyrelevance 60%velocity 0.20
President Trump on Fox & Friends: America’s Unrelenting Strength Keeps Maximum Pressure on Iran
open
The White Housepublished 2026-07-28available 2026-07-28 15:00Zlink onlyrelevance 60%velocity 0.20
Made in Michigan Again: President Trump’s Trade Agenda Is Supercharging American Auto Manufacturing
open
The White Housepublished 2026-07-27available 2026-07-27 16:02Zlink onlyrelevance 60%velocity 0.20
Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Restores Trust in the Smithsonian Institution
open
The White Housepublished 2026-07-24available 2026-07-24 19:11Zlink onlyrelevance 60%velocity 0.20
WHAT THEY ARE SAYING: President Trump Unites Industry and State Leaders to Protect American Ratepayers
open
The White Housepublished 2026-07-24available 2026-07-24 16:30Zlink onlyrelevance 60%velocity 0.20
President Trump’s Ratepayer Protection Pledge Secures American AI Dominance, Protects Consumers
open
The White Housepublished 2026-07-23available 2026-07-23 22:12Zlink onlyrelevance 60%velocity 0.20
President Trump’s Working Families Tax Cuts Ignite Manufacturing Renaissance Across All 50 States
open
The White Housepublished 2026-07-21available 2026-07-21 17:49Zlink onlyrelevance 60%velocity 0.20
Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Announces Trade Deal with Jordan
open
The White Housepublished 2026-07-21available 2026-07-21 15:56Zlink onlyrelevance 60%velocity 0.20
Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Imposes Additional Tariffs on Canada
open
The White Housepublished 2026-07-20available 2026-07-20 21:00Zlink onlyrelevance 60%velocity 0.20

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